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​Risk Assessment - UKCIP

The approach used here for assessing risk for climate change is based on the UKCIP adaptation tool (www.ukcip.org.uk) framework, and is supplemented with different methods and resources that can be used to achieve the outcomes for each step. It is noted that there are many alternative frameworks that are similarly based on ISO 31000. 

The UKCIP tool uses a five step process to help assess organisational vulnerability to current climate and future climate change, develop and implement an adaptation strategy that can address key climate risks.  

UKCIP's five steps are:

  1. Getting started,
  2. Assessing the current climate vulnerability;
  3. Assessing future climate vulnerability;
  4. Adaptation options analysis; and
  5. Monitoring and review.


 Step 1: Getting Started

This determines the scope of the analysis and the objectives of the process. Critical elements are getting the team together with effective organisational buy in.

Methods

  • Stakeholder analysis

UKCIP Resources

New Zealand Key Resources


 Step 2: Current climate vulnerability

This step addresses determining the vulnerability of the organisation, it considers:

  • Exposure to climate hazards,
  • Sensitivity to climate variability and
  • Organisational adaptive capacity.

Current vulnerability can be addressed by analysing impacts of past weather events across the business and supply change.

UKCIP Tools

NZ Resources

                (The CCII reports are currently being developed, as at Jan 2017)


Step 3: Future climate vulnerability

This step develops the understanding on the projected future changes in climate and the impacts and the priority list of risks to your business and the uncertainty associated within them. The priorities identify the critical risks that need adaptation action. While the UKCIP has climate data as well as a weather generator, such data sources are not available on-line in NZ.   

Methods​

NZ Resources

Data: As part of the CCII (www.ccii.org.nz) NIWA generated daily, monthly climate projection data for every 5km square over NZ. This climate data is derived at four RCP levels using 6 different regional climate models. (Details are here)

 

UKCIP Resources 


 Step 4: Adaptation options 

This step addresses how to reduce vulnerability through two forms of action, the first focuses on building the institutional capacity to address climate change, and the second are the practical actions that reduce impact and sensitivities such as risk transfer (e.g. insurance); elimination of the impact e.g. through moving location; or methods to minimise the impacts or exposure. A further mindset is to exploit any new opportunities that maybe less sensitive to climate change.

Adaptation can be addressed within a strategic planning cycle of looking at tactical, strategic and transformation adaptation strategies. This is the approached used in the NZ review of climate change and adaptation options for the primary sectors (see the sidebar report).

Methods​

NZ Resources

  • SLMACC adaptation reports - See side bar
  • Aohanga - Climate change mitigation and adaptation 

UKCIP Resources 


 Step 5: Monitoring and review

Reducing the vulnerability of organisations to climate change requires constant review as the future is changing, knowledge typically is improving and other options are being revealed.

 UKCIP Resources

 

 Resources

 
Impacts of Climate Change
on Land-based Sectors and
Adaptation Options
 
sSLMACC Climate change impacts and adaptation for the primary sectors
 
 
 
ChapterasdfasdsadasdasdsdasdasChapter 3: Adapting dairy farming systems in a changing climatic environment
Hill country sheep and beef: impacts and adaptations to climate changeHill country sheep and beef: impacts and adaptations to climate cChapter 4: ​General approach and evaluation methods for land-based sector adaptatio
 
Chapter 6:Chapter 5:Chapter
 
 
 
 
Other ResourceOther Resources
 
Scenarios of storminess and regional wind extrem​es under climate change
 
Scenarios of Regioanl Drought under Climate cha
Prime Ministers Science Advisor
 
Reports on risk 
Chapter 7:R(
 
NIwa

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